Explore the latest issue of Survival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, which challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh perspectives on strategic issues of the moment.

War or Peace in Ukraine: US Moves and European Choices

François Heisbourg

Coming on top of Trump’s animosity towards NATO, the West’s inability to secure a satisfactory outcome in Ukraine could change Russia’s assessment of what Article 5 means. FREE TO READ

American Isolationisms and the Riddle of Trump Redux

John L. Harper

Donald Trump emerged as a figure to be reckoned with by exploiting and encouraging a double revolt against the two main pillars of post-1945 foreign policy: economic globalisation and military interventionism.

With the Fall of Assad, Can Syria Rise?

Natasha Hall

The ability of Syria’s new government to secure aid, maintain security and mitigate infighting will depend on outside stakeholders who have not yet decided whether the game is worth the candle.

A Shield for Europe: Reviving the European Defence Community

Federico Fabbrini

A revived European Defence Community would create a real European pillar within NATO, at once shielding Europe from the Russian threat and safeguarding the transatlantic partnership.

Is Indonesia Sleepwalking into Strategic Alignment with China?

Evan A. Laksmana

A major worry is that the economic benefits that Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto seeks to reap by strategically cosying up to China will come at the expense of fellow ASEAN members.

Noteworthy

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Divisions of Labour: Security Cooperation Between Japan, South Korea and the United States

Takuya Matsuda and Jaehan Park

The three allies should start planning more concretely for the worst-case scenario: China’s military invasion of Taiwan.

NATO’s New Members and the Baltic Strategic Balance

Victor Duenow

While dubbing the Baltic Sea a ‘NATO lake’ remains unwarranted, the addition of Finland and Sweden to the Alliance substantially diminishes Russia’s ability to deny NATO access.

Brief Notices

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Finance, Strategy and European Autonomy

Elmar Hellendoorn

Financial developments appear to be increasing American leverage over Europe even as the United States’ commitment to Europe wanes.

Forum: European Nuclear Deterrence and Donald Trump

Héloïse Fayet, Andrew Futter, Ulrich Kühn, Łukasz Kulesa, Paul van Hooft and Kristin Ven Bruusgaard

European governments must invest jointly in conventional deterrence and defence assets while building cooperative clusters around the French and British nuclear hubs.

After Gaza: American Liberals and Israel

Steven Simon

It can take a serious shock to eliminate perceptual lags. For American liberals, Israel has now delivered one by way of the Gaza war.

The Fourth Industrial Revolution and International Security

Dennis Murphy and Lawrence Rubin

States that excel in the development and implementation of digital-engineering techniques are likely to enjoy a significant strategic edge over those that do not.

Big Tech and the Brussels Effect

Paul Fraioli

In Digital Empires, Anu Bradford illuminates how conflicts between the EU and the US over technology could distract them from China’s competing and advancing technologies and regulatory concepts.

Book Reviews

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Ireland’s Future: United, European and in NATO

Jonathan Stevenson

The Republic of Ireland’s membership in NATO would diminish its strategic
vulnerability to Russia, defuse attempts to revive unionism and preserve the Good Friday Agreement’s pathway to a united Ireland. FREE TO READ