If Myanmar Stands Firm, Will

ASEAN
Flinch?
Critics argue that ASEAN is violating its own core principle of “non-interference” regarding Myanmar. In 2014, ASEAN remained silent during Thailand’s coup. Even when the coup leader rewrote the constitution and transitioned to Prime Minister in 2019, ASEAN raised no objections. Yet, it continues to persistently intervene in Myanmar’s affairs. #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar
However, cracks are now appearing within ASEAN. For five years, the bloc has pushed the “Five-Point Consensus” while sidelining Myanmar, but this approach has reached a dead end, damaging ASEAN’s own prestige. Now, a “re-engagement policy” is being discussed, with several member states beginning to support Myanmar’s position.
Plans are reportedly underway for ASEAN Foreign Ministers to hold online talks with Myanmar’s Foreign Minister. The reality is that ASEAN is a “paper tiger” lacking internal unity.
The Strategy:
If played correctly, standing firm can turn ASEAN’s own rules against it. By applying strategic pressure, #Myanmar could force the bloc to prioritize “organizational unity” and return to its fundamental principles of non-interference.